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1.
MMWR Surveill Summ ; 73(1): 1-23, 2024 03 14.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38470836

RESUMEN

Problem/Condition: Public health agencies in U.S. states, territories, and freely associated states investigate and voluntarily report waterborne disease outbreaks to CDC through the National Outbreak Reporting System (NORS). This report summarizes NORS drinking water outbreak epidemiologic, laboratory, and environmental data, including data for both public and private drinking water systems. The report presents outbreak-contributing factors (i.e., practices and factors that lead to outbreaks) and, for the first time, categorizes outbreaks as biofilm pathogen or enteric illness associated. Period Covered: 2015-2020. Description of System: CDC launched NORS in 2009 as a web-based platform into which public health departments voluntarily enter outbreak information. Through NORS, CDC collects reports of enteric disease outbreaks caused by bacterial, viral, parasitic, chemical, toxin, and unknown agents as well as foodborne and waterborne outbreaks of nonenteric disease. Data provided by NORS users, when known, for drinking water outbreaks include 1) the number of cases, hospitalizations, and deaths; 2) the etiologic agent (confirmed or suspected); 3) the implicated type of water system (e.g., community or individual or private); 4) the setting of exposure (e.g., hospital or health care facility; hotel, motel, lodge, or inn; or private residence); and 5) relevant epidemiologic and environmental data needed to describe the outbreak and characterize contributing factors. Results: During 2015-2020, public health officials from 28 states voluntarily reported 214 outbreaks associated with drinking water and 454 contributing factor types. The reported etiologies included 187 (87%) biofilm associated, 24 (11%) enteric illness associated, two (1%) unknown, and one (<1%) chemical or toxin. A total of 172 (80%) outbreaks were linked to water from public water systems, 22 (10%) to unknown water systems, 17 (8%) to individual or private systems, and two (0.9%) to other systems; one (0.5%) system type was not reported. Drinking water-associated outbreaks resulted in at least 2,140 cases of illness, 563 hospitalizations (26% of cases), and 88 deaths (4% of cases). Individual or private water systems were implicated in 944 (43%) cases, 52 (9%) hospitalizations, and 14 (16%) deaths.Enteric illness-associated pathogens were implicated in 1,299 (61%) of all illnesses, and 10 (2%) hospitalizations. No deaths were reported. Among these illnesses, three pathogens (norovirus, Shigella, and Campylobacter) or multiple etiologies including these pathogens resulted in 1,225 (94%) cases. The drinking water source was identified most often (n = 34; 7%) as the contributing factor in enteric disease outbreaks. When water source (e.g., groundwater) was known (n = 14), wells were identified in 13 (93%) of enteric disease outbreaks.Most biofilm-related outbreak reports implicated Legionella (n = 184; 98%); two nontuberculous mycobacteria (NTM) (1%) and one Pseudomonas (0.5%) outbreaks comprised the remaining. Legionella-associated outbreaks generally increased over the study period (14 in 2015, 31 in 2016, 30 in 2017, 34 in 2018, 33 in 2019, and 18 in 2020). The Legionella-associated outbreaks resulted in 786 (37%) of all illnesses, 544 (97%) hospitalizations, and 86 (98%) of all deaths. Legionella also was the outbreak etiology in 160 (92%) public water system outbreaks. Outbreak reports cited the premise or point of use location most frequently as the contributing factor for Legionella and other biofilm-associated pathogen outbreaks (n = 287; 63%). Legionella was reported to NORS in 2015 and 2019 as the cause of three outbreaks in private residences (2). Interpretation: The observed range of biofilm and enteric drinking water pathogen contributing factors illustrate the complexity of drinking water-related disease prevention and the need for water source-to-tap prevention strategies. Legionella-associated outbreaks have increased in number over time and were the leading cause of reported drinking water outbreaks, including hospitalizations and deaths. Enteric illness outbreaks primarily linked to wells represented approximately half the cases during this reporting period. This report enhances CDC efforts to estimate the U.S. illness and health care cost impacts of waterborne disease, which revealed that biofilm-related pathogens, NTM, and Legionella have emerged as the predominant causes of hospitalizations and deaths from waterborne- and drinking water-associated disease. Public Health Action: Public health departments, regulators, and drinking water partners can use these findings to identify emerging waterborne disease threats, guide outbreak response and prevention programs, and support drinking water regulatory efforts.


Asunto(s)
Agua Potable , Legionella , Enfermedades Transmitidas por el Agua , Humanos , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Microbiología del Agua , Brotes de Enfermedades , Abastecimiento de Agua , Vigilancia de la Población
3.
JAMA ; 331(15): 1318-1319, 2024 04 16.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38506835

RESUMEN

This JAMA Insights in the Climate Change and Health series discusses the importance of clinicians having awareness of changes in the geographic range, seasonality, and intensity of transmission of infectious diseases to help them diagnose, treat, and prevent these diseases.


Asunto(s)
Cambio Climático , Enfermedades Transmisibles , Humanos , Enfermedades Transmisibles/diagnóstico , Enfermedades Transmisibles/epidemiología , Procesos Climáticos , Clima Extremo , Incendios Forestales , Gases de Efecto Invernadero/efectos adversos , Combustibles Fósiles/efectos adversos , Vectores de Enfermedades , Zoonosis/epidemiología , Micosis/epidemiología , Enfermedades Transmitidas por el Agua/epidemiología , Educación Médica , Política Pública
4.
J Food Prot ; 87(1): 100204, 2024 Jan.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38070829

RESUMEN

Iraq is a desert country with access to large river resources and an extensive aquifer, but these have already been overdrawn for domestic, industry and agriculture use. The diminished flow of the Tigris and Euphrates rivers has allowed seawater intrusion from the Persian Gulf 110 km up as far as Basra, the county's third largest city. In addition, water distribution systems are overloaded and wastewater treatment plants (WWTPs) need upgrading, and fresh water sources polluted by lack of sanitation, agricultural runoff, household and industrial waste, and including the irrigation of vegetables with sewage water, have led to episodes of bacterial, viral and parasitic diseases. Also, there have been increases in many types of cancer since the early 1990s, and based on clinical and epidemiological data, these increases could be attributable to exposure to depleted uranium in the environment arising from conflict in Iraq and particularly during the Iraqi War started 20 years ago. The population affected would like government action to reduce their health concerns, and policies that have been proposed for improving water availability and quality, as well as but have not been followed up sufficiently to tackle these, including increasing the capacity and efficiency of WWTP; promoting the most efficient irrigation techniques for the local growing conditions; reducing the use of chemical fertilizers and pesticides that can decrease the water quality; reducing saline intrusion challenges; building compact desalination units; constructing water storage facilities to address water scarcity challenges; and establishing public education plans for consumers to reduce the water demand during the hot season. Whether the government rises to the task remains to be seen. Also, do those countries that used the DU have a responsibility to remove or otherwise dispose of the fragments that remain?


Asunto(s)
Purificación del Agua , Enfermedades Transmitidas por el Agua , Humanos , Irak , Agricultura , Calidad del Agua
6.
Rio de Janeiro; OPAS; 2023-12-04. (OPAS/BRA_MS/AFT/23-0012).
No convencional en Portugués | PAHO-IRIS | ID: phr3-58695

RESUMEN

O presente documento analisa o contexto do Termo de Cooperação (TC) no 72, celebrado entre a OPAS, por meio do seu Centro Pan-Americano de Febre Aftosa e Saúde Pública Veterinária (PANAFTOSA/SPV-OPAS/OMS) e o Ministério da Saúde (MS) do Brasil, através da Secretaria de Vigilância em Saúde (SVS), assinado em dezembro de 2011, com o objetivo de fortalecer o Sistema Nacional de Vigilância em Saúde (SNVS) aprimorando a capacidade de gestão do Sistema Único de Saúde (SUS) para a redução da morbimortalidade das Zoonoses e das Doenças de Transmissão Vetorial, Hídrica e Alimentar, no período de 10 anos de sua vigência, até 2021. Na implementação de ações e medidas, a contínua avaliação de resultados não só verificam o nível de avanço de planos de trabalho, como também identificam meios a serem seguidos ou novos caminhos para alcançar os resultados incialmente esperados. Neste documento, uma análise retrospectiva dos resultados obtidos com o TC 72 será realizada visando a identificação de lições aprendidas, desafios superados e perspectivas para o futuro. Sendo assim, no âmbito de um TC, a avaliação continuada das atividades executadas e respectivos resultados alcançados permitirá identificar soluções eficazes que geraram conhecimento e capacidades, fortalecendo e gerando avanços para a saúde da população brasileira.


Asunto(s)
Vigilancia en Salud Pública , Zoonosis , Enfermedades Transmitidas por el Agua , Control de Vectores de las Enfermedades , Inocuidad de los Alimentos
7.
Curr Microbiol ; 80(12): 400, 2023 Nov 06.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37930488

RESUMEN

Water plays a vital role as a natural resource since life is unsustainable without it. If water is polluted or contaminated, it results in several health issues among people. Millions of people are infected with waterborne diseases globally, and India is no exception. In the present review, we have analyzed the outbreaks of waterborne diseases that occurred in several Indian states between 2014 and 2020, identified the key infections, and provided insights into the performance of sanitation improvement programs. We noted that acute diarrheal disease (ADD), typhoid, cholera, hepatitis, and shigellosis are common waterborne diseases in India. These diseases have caused about 11,728 deaths between 2014 and 2018 out of which 10,738 deaths occurred only after 2017. The outbreaks of these diseases have been rising because of a lack of adequate sanitation, poor hygiene, and the absence of proper disposal systems. Despite various efforts by the government such as awareness campaigns, guidance on diet for infected individuals, and sanitation improvement programs, the situation is still grim. Disease hotspots and risk factors must be identified, water, sanitation, and hygiene (WASH) services must be improved, and ongoing policies must be effectively implemented to improve the situation. The efforts must be customized to the local environment. In addition, the possible effects of climate change must be projected, and strategies must be accordingly optimized.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedades Transmitidas por el Agua , Humanos , Enfermedades Transmitidas por el Agua/epidemiología , India/epidemiología , Brotes de Enfermedades , Factores de Riesgo , Agua
8.
Med Hist ; 67(2): 148-171, 2023 04.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37525460

RESUMEN

Guinea worm disease (dracunculiasis) is a debilitating waterborne disease. Once widespread, it is now on the brink of eradication. However, the Guinea Worm Eradication Programme (GWEP), like guinea worm itself, has been under-studied by historians. The GWEP demonstrates an unusual model of eradication, one focused on primary healthcare (PHC), community participation, health education and behavioural change (safe drinking). The PHC movement collided with a waterborne disease, which required rapid but straightforward treatment to prevent transmission, creating a historical space for the emergence of village-based volunteer health workers, as local actors realigned global health policy on a local level. These Village Volunteers placed eradication in the hands of residents of endemic areas, epitomising the participation-focused nature of the GWEP. This participatory mode of eradication highlights the agency of those in endemic areas, who, through volunteering, safe drinking and community self-help, have been the driving force behind dracunculiasis eradication. In the twenty-first century, guinea worm has become firstly a problem of human mobility, as global health has struggled to contain cases in refugees and nomads, and latterly a zoonotic disease, as guinea worm has shifted hosts to become primarily a parasite of dogs. This demonstrates both the potential of One Health approaches and the need for One Health to adopt from PHC and the GWEP a focus on the health of humans and animals in isolated and impoverished areas. Guinea worm demonstrates how the biological and the historical interact, with the GWEP and guinea worm shaping each other over the course of the eradication programme.


Asunto(s)
Dracunculiasis , Enfermedades Transmitidas por el Agua , Humanos , Animales , Perros , Dracunculus , Dracunculiasis/epidemiología , Dracunculiasis/prevención & control , Educación en Salud , Política de Salud , Erradicación de la Enfermedad
9.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 29(8): 1548-1558, 2023 08.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37486189

RESUMEN

In the United States, tropical cyclones cause destructive flooding that can lead to adverse health outcomes. Storm-driven flooding contaminates environmental, recreational, and drinking water sources, but few studies have examined effects on specific infections over time. We used 23 years of exposure and case data to assess the effects of tropical cyclones on 6 waterborne diseases in a conditional quasi-Poisson model. We separately defined storm exposure for windspeed, rainfall, and proximity to the storm track. Exposure to storm-related rainfall was associated with a 48% (95% CI 27%-69%) increase in Shiga toxin-producing Escherichia coli infections 1 week after storms and a 42% (95% CI 22%-62%) in increase Legionnaires' disease 2 weeks after storms. Cryptosporidiosis cases increased 52% (95% CI 42%-62%) during storm weeks but declined over ensuing weeks. Cyclones are a risk to public health that will likely become more serious with climate change and aging water infrastructure systems.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedades Transmisibles , Criptosporidiosis , Tormentas Ciclónicas , Enfermedad de los Legionarios , Enfermedades Transmitidas por el Agua , Humanos , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Enfermedades Transmitidas por el Agua/epidemiología
10.
PLoS Negl Trop Dis ; 17(6): e0011377, 2023 06.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37315020

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Schistosomiasis is a water-borne parasitic disease which affects over 230 million people globally. The relationship between contact with open freshwater bodies and the likelihood of schistosome infection remains poorly quantified despite its importance for understanding transmission and parametrising transmission models. METHODS: We conducted a systematic review to estimate the average effect of water contact duration, frequency, and activities on schistosome infection likelihood. We searched Embase, MEDLINE (including PubMed), Global Health, Global Index Medicus, Web of Science, and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials from inception until May 13, 2022. Observational and interventional studies reporting odds ratios (OR), hazard ratios (HR), or sufficient information to reconstruct effect sizes on individual-level associations between water contact and infection with any Schistosoma species were eligible for inclusion. Random-effects meta-analysis with inverse variance weighting was used to calculate pooled ORs and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). RESULTS: We screened 1,411 studies and included 101 studies which represented 192,691 participants across Africa, Asia, and South America. Included studies mostly reported on water contact activities (69%; 70/101) and having any water contact (33%; 33/101). Ninety-six percent of studies (97/101) used surveys to measure exposure. A meta-analysis of 33 studies showed that individuals with water contact were 3.14 times more likely to be infected (OR 3.14; 95% CI: 2.08-4.75) when compared to individuals with no water contact. Subgroup analyses showed that the positive association of water contact with infection was significantly weaker in children compared to studies which included adults and children (OR 1.67; 95% CI: 1.04-2.69 vs. OR 4.24; 95% CI: 2.59-6.97). An association of water contact with infection was only found in communities with ≥10% schistosome prevalence. Overall heterogeneity was substantial (I2 = 93%) and remained high across all subgroups, except in direct observation studies (I2 range = 44%-98%). We did not find that occupational water contact such as fishing and agriculture (OR 2.57; 95% CI: 1.89-3.51) conferred a significantly higher risk of schistosome infection compared to recreational water contact (OR 2.13; 95% CI: 1.75-2.60) or domestic water contact (OR 1.91; 95% CI: 1.47-2.48). Higher duration or frequency of water contact did not significantly modify infection likelihood. Study quality across analyses was largely moderate or poor. CONCLUSIONS: Any current water contact was robustly associated with schistosome infection status, and this relationship held across adults and children, and schistosomiasis-endemic areas with prevalence greater than 10%. Substantial gaps remain in published studies for understanding interactions of water contact with age and gender, and the influence of these interactions for infection likelihood. As such, more empirical studies are needed to accurately parametrise exposure in transmission models. Our results imply the need for population-wide treatment and prevention strategies in endemic settings as exposure within these communities was not confined to currently prioritised high-risk groups such as fishing populations.


Asunto(s)
Schistosomatidae , Enfermedades Transmitidas por el Agua , Adulto , Niño , Animales , Humanos , Schistosoma , Oportunidad Relativa , Probabilidad
11.
Water Res ; 242: 120244, 2023 Aug 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37390656

RESUMEN

The vast majority of residents of high-income countries (≥90%) reportedly have high access to safely managed drinking water. Owing perhaps to the widely held perception of near universal access to high-quality water services in these countries, the burden of waterborne disease in these contexts is understudied. This systematic review aimed to: identify population-scale estimates of waterborne disease in countries with high access to safely managed drinking water, compare methods to quantify disease burden, and identify gaps in available burden estimates. We conducted a systematic review of population-scale disease burden estimates attributed to drinking water in countries where ≥90% of the population has access to safely managed drinking water per official United Nations monitoring. We identified 24 studies reporting estimates for disease burden attributable to microbial contaminants. Across these studies, the median burden of gastrointestinal illness risks attributed to drinking water was ∼2,720 annual cases per 100,000 population. Beyond exposure to infectious agents, we identified 10 studies reporting disease burden-predominantly, cancer risks-associated with chemical contaminants. Across these studies, the median excess cancer cases attributable to drinking water was 1.2 annual cancer cases per 100,000 population. These median estimates slightly exceed WHO-recommended normative targets for disease burden attributable to drinking water and these results highlight that there remains important preventable disease burden in these contexts, particularly among marginalized populations. However, the available literature was scant and limited in geographic scope, disease outcomes, range of microbial and chemical contaminants, and inclusion of subpopulations (rural, low-income communities; Indigenous or Aboriginal peoples; and populations marginalized due to discrimination by race, ethnicity, or socioeconomic status) that could most benefit from water infrastructure investments. Studies quantifying drinking water-associated disease burden in countries with reportedly high access to safe drinking water, focusing on specific subpopulations lacking access to safe water supplies and promoting environmental justice, are needed.


Asunto(s)
Agua Potable , Neoplasias , Enfermedades Transmitidas por el Agua , Humanos , Contaminación del Agua , Abastecimiento de Agua , Costo de Enfermedad
12.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 29(7): 1357-1366, 2023 07.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37347505

RESUMEN

More than 7.15 million cases of domestically acquired infectious waterborne illnesses occurred in the United States in 2014, causing 120,000 hospitalizations and 6,600 deaths. We estimated disease incidence for 17 pathogens according to recreational, drinking, and nonrecreational nondrinking (NRND) water exposure routes by using previously published estimates. In 2014, a total of 5.61 million (95% credible interval [CrI] 2.97-9.00 million) illnesses were linked to recreational water, 1.13 million (95% CrI 255,000-3.54 million) to drinking water, and 407,000 (95% CrI 72,800-1.29 million) to NRND water. Recreational water exposure was responsible for 36%, drinking water for 40%, and NRND water for 24% of hospitalizations from waterborne illnesses. Most direct costs were associated with pathogens found in biofilms. Estimating disease burden by water exposure route helps direct prevention activities. For each exposure route, water management programs are needed to control biofilm-associated pathogen growth; public health programs are needed to prevent biofilm-associated diseases.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedades Transmisibles , Agua Potable , Enfermedades Transmitidas por el Agua , Humanos , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Enfermedades Transmisibles/epidemiología , Enfermedades Transmitidas por el Agua/epidemiología , Abastecimiento de Agua , Microbiología del Agua
13.
Environ Monit Assess ; 195(7): 864, 2023 Jun 20.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37338629

RESUMEN

Water remains a significant player in spreading pathogens, including those associated with neglected tropical diseases. The implications of socio-demographic delineations of water quality, sanitation, and hygiene ("WASH") interventions are on the downswing. This study assessed waterborne diseases and perceived associated WASH factors in the Bushenyi and Sheema districts of South-Western Uganda. This study examines the linear relationship between WASH and identifies the association of specific demographic factors as well as their contributions/correlations to waterborne disease in the study area. A structured qualitative and quantitative data collection approach was adopted in face-to-face questionnaire-guided interviews of 200 respondents on eight surface water usage. Most participants, 65.5%, were females and had a higher score of knowledge of WASH (71%), 68% score on the improper practice of WASH, and 64% score on unsafe water quality. Low score for basic economic status was (57%), report of common diarrhoea was (47%), and a low incidence of waterborne disease outbreaks (27%). The principal component analysis (PCA) depicts the knowledge and practice of WASH to have a strong positive correlation (r = 0.84, p < 0.001; r = 0.82, p < 0.001); also economic status positively correlated with grade of water source, knowledge, and practice of WASH (correlation coefficient = 0.72; 0.99; 0.76 and p-values = 0.001; < 0.001; < 0.001 respectively). Occupation (p = 0.0001, OR = 6.798) was significantly associated with knowledge and practice of WASH, while age (r = -0.21, p < 0.001) was negatively associated with knowledge and practice of WASH. The basic economic status explains why "low economic population groups" in the remote villages may not effectively implement WASH, and diarrhoea was common among the population. Diarrhoea associated with unsafe water quality and improper practice of WASH is common among the study population, and there is a low incidence of waterborne disease outbreaks. Therefore, government, stakeholders, and non-governmental organisations should work together to promote proper practice of WASH conditions to limit the occurrence of diarrhoea and prevent potential waterborne disease outbreaks.


Asunto(s)
Abastecimiento de Agua , Enfermedades Transmitidas por el Agua , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Enfermedades Transmitidas por el Agua/epidemiología , Uganda/epidemiología , Monitoreo del Ambiente , Diarrea/epidemiología , Demografía
14.
J Hosp Infect ; 138: 60-73, 2023 Aug.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37290689

RESUMEN

Bone marrow transplant and haemato-oncology patients are at risk of healthcare-associated infections due to waterborne pathogens. We undertook a narrative review of waterborne outbreaks in haemato-oncology patients from 2000 to 2022. Databases searched included PubMed, DARE and CDSR, and were undertaken by two authors. We analysed the organisms implicated, sources identified and infection prevention and control strategies implemented. The most commonly implicated pathogens were Pseudomonas aeruginosa, non-tuberculous mycobacteria and Legionella pneumophila. Bloodstream infection was the most common clinical presentation. The majority of incidents employed multi-modal strategies to achieve control, addressing both the water source and routes of transmission. This review highlights the risk to haemato-oncology patients from waterborne pathogens and discusses future preventative strategies and the requirement for new UK guidance for haemato-oncology units.


Asunto(s)
Infección Hospitalaria , Enfermedades Transmitidas por el Agua , Humanos , Enfermedades Transmitidas por el Agua/epidemiología , Infección Hospitalaria/epidemiología , Instituciones de Salud , Brotes de Enfermedades , Abastecimiento de Agua , Microbiología del Agua
15.
Rev Bras Epidemiol ; 26: e230010, 2023.
Artículo en Inglés, Portugués | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36722666

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: To describe, within the Human Rights to Water and Sanitation (HRWS) framework, the access to water supply services and the incidence of waterborne diseases in the communities affected by the dam disaster in Brumadinho (MG), Brazil. METHODS: A quantitative and qualitative methodology was used, having as variables information on access to water supply services and waterborne diseases. The primary data were extracted from the "Brumadinho Health Project", using a sample stratum with 981 people interviewed, totaling 92.5% of the eligible population in the affected communities of Córrego do Feijão and Parque da Cachoeira. The secondary data from Brumadinho was extracted from the project "Sanitation conditions and the River Basin of the B1 River Basin of Mineradora Vale between 2017 and 2020", available in public databases between 2017 and 2020, and qualitative data was collected in 2022 through individual interviews with health professional also live in the communities. RESULTS: With regard to access to water supply services, the results of this combined data analysis indicate that the HRWS is being neglected, especially with regard to availability, accessibility, acceptability and quality of water. The study also shows a significant increase in the incidence of waterborne diseases in the region after the disaster. CONCLUSION: It is necessary to use the HRWS as the basis to the implementation of public policies aiming to reduce vulnerability in access to water supply services.


Asunto(s)
Colapso de la Estructura , Enfermedades Transmitidas por el Agua , Humanos , Brasil/epidemiología , Incidencia , Enfermedades Transmitidas por el Agua/epidemiología , Agua
16.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36850065

RESUMEN

Introduction: Pathogens can enter the drinking water supply and cause gastroenteritis outbreaks. Such events can affect many people in a short time, making them a high risk for public health. In Australia, the Victoria State Government Department of Health is deploying a syndromic surveillance system for drinking water contamination events. We assessed the utility of segmented regression models for detecting such events and determined the number of excess presentations needed for such methods to signal a detection. Methods: The study involved an interrupted time series study of a past lapse in water treatment. The baseline period comprised the four weeks before the minimum incubation period of suspected pathogens, set at two days post-event. The surveillance period comprised the week after. We used segmented linear regression to compare the count of gastroenteritis presentations to public hospital emergency departments (EDs) between the surveillance and baseline periods. We then simulated events resulting in varying excess presentations. These were superimposed onto the ED data over fifty different dates across 2020. Using the same regression, we calculated the detection probability at p < 0.05 for each outbreak size. Results: In the retrospective analysis, there was strong evidence for an increase in presentations shortly after the event. In the simulations, with no excess presentations (i.e., with the ED data as is) the models signalled 8% probability of detection. The models returned 50% probability of detection with 28 excess presentations and 100% probability of detection with 78 excess presentations. Conclusions: The transient increase in presentations after the event may be attributed to microbiological hazards or increased health-seeking behaviour following the issuing of boil water advisories. The simulations demonstrated the ability for segmented regressions to signal a detection, even without a large excess in presentations. The approach also demonstrated high specificity and should be considered for informing Victoria's syndromic surveillance system.


Asunto(s)
Agua Potable , Gastroenteritis , Enfermedades Transmitidas por el Agua , Humanos , Análisis de Series de Tiempo Interrumpido , Estudios Retrospectivos , Vigilancia de Guardia , Enfermedades Transmitidas por el Agua/epidemiología , Brotes de Enfermedades , Análisis de Regresión , Gastroenteritis/epidemiología , Victoria/epidemiología
17.
BMC Med Inform Decis Mak ; 23(1): 11, 2023 01 18.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36653779

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Water quality has been compromised and endangered by different contaminants due to Pakistan's rapid population development, which has resulted in a dramatic rise in waterborne infections and afflicted many regions of Pakistan. Because of this, modeling and predicting waterborne diseases has become a hot topic for researchers and is very important for controlling waterborne disease pollution. METHODS: In our study, first, we collected typhoid and malaria patient data for the years 2017-2020 from Ayub Medical Hospital. The collected data set has seven important input features. In the current study, different ML models were first trained and tested on the current study dataset using the tenfold cross-validation method. Second, we investigated the importance of input features in waterborne disease-positive case detection. The experiment results showed that Random Forest correctly predicted malaria-positive cases 60% of the time and typhoid-positive cases 77% of the time, which is better than other machine-learning models. In this research, we have also investigated the input features that are more important in the prediction and will help analyze positive cases of waterborne disease. The random forest feature selection technique has been used, and experimental results have shown that age, history, and test results play an important role in predicting waterborne disease-positive cases. In the end, we concluded that this interesting study could help health departments in different areas reduce the number of people who get sick from the water.


Asunto(s)
Fiebre Tifoidea , Enfermedades Transmitidas por el Agua , Humanos , Enfermedades Transmitidas por el Agua/diagnóstico , Enfermedades Transmitidas por el Agua/epidemiología , Fiebre Tifoidea/diagnóstico , Fiebre Tifoidea/epidemiología , Aprendizaje Automático
18.
Comput Methods Biomech Biomed Engin ; 26(11): 1294-1307, 2023 Sep.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36006368

RESUMEN

Drinking or recreating water that has been polluted with disease-causing organisms or pathogens is what causes waterborne infections. It should be noted that many water-borne infections can also transmit from person to person, by contact with animals or their surroundings, or by ingesting tainted food or beverages. Schistosomiasis is a water-borne infection found in different areas of the globe. Mostly people with this viral infection live in Africa with limited resources and medications. Therefore, investigation of this infection is significant to reduce its economic burden on the society. We formulated a novel epidemic model for schistosomiasis water-borne infection with the help of the Atangana-Baleanu derivative. The rudimentary theory of fractional-calculus has been presented for the analysis of our system. We start by looking at the model solution's non-negativity and uniqueness. The basic reproduction number and equilibria of the hypothesized water-borne infection model are next evaluated. Local stability of the infection-free steady-state has been established through Jacobian matrix method for R0<1. In addition, the suggested model's solution is calculated using an iterative technique. Finally, we give numerical simulations for various input values to illustrate the impact of memory index and other input factors of the system. Our findings showed the influence of input parameters on the dynamical behaviour of the schistosomiasis infection. The results demonstrate the importance and persuasive behaviour of fractional order, and reveal that fractional memory effects in the model seem to be a good fit for this type of findings.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedades Transmitidas por el Agua , Animales , Agua
19.
Sci Total Environ ; 856(Pt 1): 159098, 2023 Jan 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36181797

RESUMEN

The World Health Organization reported that COVID-19 cases reached 611,421,786 globally by September 23, 2022. Six months after the first reported case, the disease had spread rapidly, reaching pandemic status, leading to numerous preventive measures to curb the spread, including a complete shutdown of many activities worldwide. Such restrictions affected services like waste management, resulting in waste accumulation in many communities and increased water pollution. Therefore, the current study investigated if lockdown impacted surface water microbial quality within an urban water catchment in South Africa. Using quantitative microbial risk assessment, the study further assessed changes in the probability of infection (Pi) with gastrointestinal illnesses from exposure to polluted water in the catchment. Escherichia coli data for 2019, 2020 and 2021 - pre-COVID, lockdown, and post-lockdown periods, respectively - were collected from the area's wastewater treatment management authorities. The Pi was determined using a beta-Poisson model. Mean overall E. coli counts ranged from 2.93 ± 0.16 to 5.30 ± 1.07 Log10 MPN/100 mL. There was an overall statistically significant increase in microbial counts from 2019 to 2021. However, this difference was only accounted for between 2019 and 2021 (p = 0.008); the increase was insignificant between 2019 and 2020, and 2020 and 2021. The Pi revealed a similar trend for incidental ingestion of 100 mL and 1 mL of polluted water. No statistically significant difference was observed between the years based on multiple exposures. Although the overall microbial load and Pi estimated within the catchment exceeded the local and international limits recommended for safe use by humans, especially for drinking and recreation, these were not significantly affected by the COVID-19 restrictions. Nevertheless, these could still represent a health hazard to immunocompromised individuals using such water for personal and household hygiene, especially in informal settlements without access to water and sanitation services.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Enfermedades Transmitidas por el Agua , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiología , Agua , Escherichia coli , Control de Enfermedades Transmisibles , Medición de Riesgo
20.
Int J Hyg Environ Health ; 247: 114044, 2023 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36395654

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Safe drinking water is a fundamental human right, yet more than 785 million people do not have access to it. The burden of water management disproportionately falls on women and young girls, and they suffer the health, psychosocial, political, educational, and economic effects. While water conditions and disease outcomes have been widely studied, few studies have summarized the research on drinking water and implications for gender equity and empowerment (GEE). METHODS: A systematic review of primary literature published between 1980 and 2019 was conducted on drinking water exposures and management and the implications for GEE. Ten databases were utilized (EMBASE, PubMed, Web of Science, Cochrane, ProQuest, Campbell, the British Library for Development Studies, SSRN, 3ie International Initiative for Impact Evaluation, and clinicaltrials.gov). Drinking water studies with an all-female cohort or disaggregated findings according to gender were included. RESULTS: A total of 1280 studies were included. GEE outcomes were summarized in five areas: health, psychosocial stress, political power and decision-making, social-educational conditions, and economic and time-use conditions. Water quality exposures and implications for women's health dominated the literature reviewed. Women experienced higher rates of bladder cancer when exposed to arsenic, trihalomethanes, and chlorine in drinking water and higher rates of breast cancer due to arsenic, trichloroethylene, and disinfection byproducts in drinking water, compared to men. Women that were exposed to arsenic experienced higher incidence rates of anemia and adverse pregnancy outcomes compared to those that were not exposed. Water-related skin diseases were associated with increased levels of psychosocial stress and social ostracization among women. Women had fewer decision-making responsibilities, economic independence, and employment opportunities around water compared to men. CONCLUSION: This systematic review confirms the interconnected nature of gender and WaSH outcomes. With growing attention directed towards gender equity and empowerment within WaSH, this analysis provides key insights to inform future research and policy.


Asunto(s)
Arsénico , Agua Potable , Enfermedades Transmitidas por el Agua , Masculino , Embarazo , Femenino , Humanos , Equidad de Género , Trihalometanos
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